U.S. President Donald Trump’s promise to erect a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border was a crowd pleaser at his rallies on the campaign trail, its mention prompting cheers for him to “build that wall!”
Now the wall is set to become a reality as Trump pledges to begin construction as part of his larger plan to crack down on illegal immigration.
But how realistic is his vision? How much will it cost? And who will pay what he has described as a “great wall?”
Why did Trump want to build the wall?
Trump first called for the building of a wall in October 2014, saying the U.S. needed a better way to stop ISIS at the border.
The fight against ISIS starts at our border. ‘At least’ 10 ISIS have been caught crossing the Mexico border. Build a wall!
He later mentioned his plan to build a wall when he announced his candidacy in June 2015.
“I will build a great wall — and nobody builds walls better than me, believe me — and I’ll build them very inexpensively,” he said. “I will build a great, great wall on our southern border, and I will make Mexico pay for that wall. Mark my words.”
His controversial speech criticized Mexico and suggested that the U.S. had become a “dumping ground” for the wrong kind of people.
“They’re sending people that have lots of problems and they’re bringing their problems,” he said. “They’re bringing drugs, they’re bringing crime, they’re rapists, and some I assume are good people but I speak to border guards and they tell us what we are getting.”
Trump told MSNBC in February 2016 that he envisioned building a wall that measured 10 to 12 metres (35 to 40 feet). And don’t call it a fence, Trump has responded testily to people who’ve made the suggestion.
Jeb Bush just talked about my border proposal to build a “fence.” It’s not a fence, Jeb, it’s a WALL, and there’s a BIG difference!
What does the U.S.-Mexico border look like now?
The Secure Fence Act, passed in 2006, funded fencing for a span of 1,126 km (700 miles) along the southern border. At present, fencing has been erected along 1,049 km (652 miles) of the border that runs in total 3,200 km (1,989 miles).The U.S. has spent more than $ 7 billion on the fencing and barriers that are in place now.
Tall steel fences can be found in heavily populated areas and lower corrugated metal barriers have been placed in less dense regions. There are no obstructions in areas where natural barriers, such as the Rio Grande river or high mountain ranges, exist.
How much will it cost?
Trump estimated that the wall will cost about $ 8 billion US, a figure many suggest might be too low.
A 2016 report from Bernstein, an investment research firm, suggests the cost would likely be much higher, ringing in somewhere between $ 15-$ 25 billion.
The Bernstein report cited the Government Accountability Office, which in 2009 reported that one mile of fencing (1.6 km) along the border cost between $ 2.8 million and $ 3.9 million to install. The report also noted that this calculation applied to the “easiest” stretches of land.
Critics have also questioned if Trump’s estimate also takes maintenance of the wall into account.
Will Mexico actually pay for the wall?
Despite Trump’s assertions, Mexico’s President Enrique Pena Nieto has said repeatedly his country will not pay for the wall. Former Mexican president Vicente Fox went a little further.
TRUMP, when will you understand that I am not paying for that fucken wall. Be clear with US tax payers. They will pay for it.
Trump himself has been ambiguous, saying Mexico will pay for the wall — and then modifying his stance slightly saying Mexico will pay them later.
Mexico will pay for the wall!
Dishonest media says Mexico won’t be paying for the wall if they pay a little later so the wall can be built more quickly. Media is fake!
The dishonest media does not report that any money spent on building the Great Wall (for sake of speed), will be paid back by Mexico later!
Trump’s team has also suggested that they would make Mexico pay for the wall through indirect means, including trade tariffs and higher fees on border crossing. He also suggested he would withhold remittances Mexican nationals attempt to send to their families.
Given that the Secure Fence Act has almost fulfilled its mandate of erecting 1,126 km of fencing, Trump would need the support of Congress to continue building along the border.
What other obstacles exist?
Trump’s team has reportedly had meetings with the army and Interior Department to assess environmental obstacles to building the wall, according to CNN. Critics suggest a wall might threaten the movement of species in the Rio Grande. The Bernstein report also notes that construction in some areas might be difficult, given the territory crosses several floodplains.
What about Canada?
Trump rejected the idea of building a wall along the Canada-U.S. border last February in a debate televised on Telemundo. He said erecting such border would be too costly and without cause.
“It would be very, very hard to do — and it is not our biggest problem,” he said. “I don’t care what anyone says. It is not our big problem.”